Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.693782 0.793728 0.902094 1.028200 1.170800 1.326933 1.510722
2025-02-02 0.564248 0.705233 0.870947 1.079594 1.334753 1.636084 2.018361
2025-02-09 0.450871 0.611470 0.814758 1.089740 1.450633 1.906635 2.524832
2025-02-16 0.362866 0.530960 0.758837 1.088059 1.548837 2.167695 3.058128
2025-02-23 0.297643 0.467402 0.712608 1.088955 1.647488 2.440233 3.643556
2025-03-02 0.246428 0.413421 0.669309 1.084653 1.735159 2.706152 4.253351
2025-03-09 0.211111 0.376574 0.644337 1.101866 1.854509 3.030455 4.988076
2025-03-16 0.177742 0.336215 0.606346 1.090939 1.925821 3.287235 5.647951
2025-03-23 0.156946 0.313412 0.593175 1.117894 2.060734 3.658826 6.533657
2025-03-30 0.134307 0.282813 0.561008 1.105807 2.125264 3.918604 7.260037
2025-04-06 0.119044 0.263419 0.545865 1.121575 2.239948 4.275518 8.192136
2025-04-13 0.101477 0.235975 0.510732 1.093468 2.268122 4.479050 8.869185
2025-04-20 0.093060 0.226699 0.510944 1.136465 2.441207 4.973999 10.150710
2025-04-27 0.086849 0.221195 0.518153 1.194958 2.653045 5.567047 11.686739
2025-05-04 0.077702 0.207128 0.504672 1.207415 2.771749 5.991165 12.939301
2025-05-11 0.068854 0.192022 0.486377 1.206379 2.861328 6.366115 14.133579
2025-05-18 0.061366 0.178834 0.470327 1.207885 2.956285 6.761998 15.413143
2025-05-25 0.054542 0.165985 0.452940 1.203468 3.036894 7.135459 16.684071
2025-06-01 0.049762 0.157772 0.445732 1.222663 3.174663 7.647980 18.310323
2025-06-08 0.044146 0.145976 0.427294 1.210741 3.236078 7.995585 19.604612
2025-06-15 0.040920 0.140613 0.425114 1.240563 3.403795 8.603983 21.553876
2025-06-22 0.036431 0.130376 0.407786 1.227282 3.460744 8.958179 22.946862
2025-06-29 0.033505 0.124525 0.401953 1.244712 3.599467 9.522761 24.896256